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Confidence and Limits

Techniques that show users how far to trust each output and when a request falls outside what the system can handle.

10 techniques

10 techniques
GoalsModelsData TypesDescription
Conformal Prediction
Algorithmic
Architecture/model Agnostic
Requirements/black Box
Any
Conformal prediction wraps any trained model so that, instead of a single answer, it returns a set of plausible answers...
Platt Scaling
Algorithmic
Architecture/model Agnostic
Paradigm/supervised
+1
Any
Platt scaling turns a classifier's raw scores into calibrated probabilities, meaning that among the cases given a...
Temperature Scaling
Algorithmic
Architecture/neural Networks
Paradigm/discriminative
+4
Any
Temperature scaling is a correction applied after training to a classifier that is more confident than it is accurate, a...
Deep Ensembles
Algorithmic
Architecture/neural Networks
Paradigm/parametric
+2
Any
Deep ensembles estimate how uncertain a neural network's predictions are by training several copies of the same network...
Bootstrap Ensembles
Algorithmic
Architecture/model Agnostic
Paradigm/supervised
+1
Any
Bootstrap ensembles estimate how much a model's predictions depend on the particular sample of data it was trained on....
Jackknife Resampling
Algorithmic
Architecture/model Agnostic
Paradigm/supervised
+1
Any
Jackknife resampling, also called leave-one-out resampling, shows how much a result computed from a dataset depends on...
Confidence Thresholding
Algorithmic
Architecture/model Agnostic
Requirements/black Box
+1
Any
Confidence thresholding uses a model score to decide whether a prediction should proceed automatically or receive...
Knowledge Boundary Probing
Algorithmic
Architecture/neural Networks/transformer/llm
Requirements/black Box
Text
Knowledge boundary probing maps what a language model can and cannot reliably answer. A probe set is built from...
Out-of-Domain Detection
Algorithmic
Architecture/model Agnostic
Architecture/neural Networks/transformer/llm
+2
Text
Out-of-domain detection checks whether a user's query falls inside the topics and tasks a conversational AI system is...
Isotonic Regression Calibration
Algorithmic
Architecture/model Agnostic
Paradigm/supervised
+1
Any
Isotonic regression calibration turns a classifier's scores into calibrated probabilities by fitting a step-shaped...
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